Aintree 12:40: Value Analysis
Little Lights Loop Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Stayers' Hurdle Series Qualifier)
Sunday 25 October 2026
What the abbreviations mean
Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.
We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)
- ✓ Preferred to Molto Bene, a proven winner at this class
- ✓ Well treated on official ratings
- ✓ Ideally fresh, 18 days since its last run
- ✕ Harry Atkins(3) and Dan Skelton have a poor record together, 0% winners
- ✕ Carries plenty of weight today
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Typical odds | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
BROOKSIDE LA
★ Top Rated
7/4
·market 36%
|
22% |
36% |
7/4
|
-41% | |
| 2 |
MOLTO BENE
8/1
·market 11%
|
12% |
11% |
8/1
|
+8% | |
| 3 |
SERIOUS CHAT
12/1
·market 8%
|
11% |
8% |
12/1
|
+44% | |
| 4 |
CRACK OPS
15/2
·market 12%
|
9% |
12% |
15/2
|
-27% | |
| 5 |
KEABLE
11/1
·market 8%
|
8% |
8% |
11/1
|
+0% | |
| 6 |
LIHYAN
14/1
·market 7%
|
7% |
7% |
14/1
|
+12% | |
| 7 |
KEEP ON COBBLING
8/1
·market 11%
|
5% |
11% |
8/1
|
-49% | |
| 8 |
MASKED DANCE
16/1
·market 6%
|
5% |
6% |
16/1
|
-9% | |
| 9 |
WALKING ON AIR
25/1
·market 4%
|
5% |
4% |
25/1
|
+20% | |
| 10 |
SOME SCOPE
14/1
·market 7%
|
4% |
7% |
14/1
|
-33% | |
| 11 |
WESTERN MONKEY
5/1
·market 17%
|
4% |
17% |
5/1
|
-74% | |
| 12 |
AZAHARA PALACE
16/1
·market 6%
|
4% |
6% |
16/1
|
-35% | |
| 13 |
ILE DE JERSEY
10/1
·market 9%
|
3% |
9% |
10/1
|
-67% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org