Newmarket 11:20: Value Analysis
Prestige Vehicles Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Saturday 31 October 2026
What the abbreviations mean
Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.
We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)
- ✓ Preferred to Space Party, better suited by the trip and better on the ground
- ✓ Ideally fresh, 26 days since its last run
- ✓ Has been racing at a higher level than this lately
- ✕ Stepping up beyond the level it has shown
- ✕ Carries plenty of weight today
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Typical odds | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ALMARADA PRINCE
★ Top Rated
10/3
·market 23%
|
27% |
23% |
10/3
▼ Edge decreasing
|
+16% | |
| 2 |
SPACE PARTY
10/3
·market 23%
|
15% |
23% |
10/3
▲ Edge increasing
|
-33% | |
| 3 |
CARAGIO
4/1
·market 20%
|
13% |
20% |
4/1
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-35% | |
| 4 |
IZZY FAST
11/2
·market 15%
|
11% |
15% |
11/2
|
-31% | |
| 5 |
UNDERWRITER
12/1
·market 8%
|
8% |
8% |
12/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+5% | |
| 6 |
SIXTYGEESBABY
9/1
·market 10%
|
8% |
10% |
9/1
|
-24% | |
| 7 |
STAR MATERIAL
14/1
·market 7%
|
7% |
7% |
14/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+2% | |
| 8 |
FROM THE HIP
16/1
·market 6%
|
4% |
6% |
16/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
-28% | |
| 9 |
BAY BREEZE
25/1
·market 4%
|
4% |
4% |
25/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+7% | |
| 10 |
MADMAN
33/1
·market 3%
|
3% |
3% |
33/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+18% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org