Newmarket 11:50: Value Analysis
Prestige Vehicles Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Saturday 31 October 2026
What the abbreviations mean
Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.
We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)
Ticks most boxes here: a strong record against this class, a run better than the bare fourth 30 days ago, and ideal freshness. The ground is a slight doubt and George Wood is cold at 5% in the fortnight.
- ✓ Ideally fresh, 30 days since its last run
- ✓ Strong record against this class of rival
- ✓ Has been racing at a higher level than this lately
- ✕ Ground may not suit
- ✕ George Wood cold lately, 5% in the fortnight
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Typical odds | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
LYRA LEA
★ Top Rated
4/1
·market 20%
|
24% |
20% |
4/1
▼ Edge decreasing
|
+19% | |
| 2 |
STAR CHORUS
20/1
·market 5%
|
15% |
5% |
20/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+206% | |
| 3 |
WODAO
11/2
·market 15%
|
13% |
15% |
11/2
▲ Edge increasing
|
-19% | |
| 4 |
DASHING DICK
9/2
·market 18%
|
11% |
18% |
9/2
▲ Edge increasing
|
-37% | |
| 5 |
BACK TO ME
25/1
·market 4%
|
8% |
4% |
25/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+111% | |
| 6 |
VENTURE CAPITAL
7/1
·market 12%
|
8% |
12% |
7/1
|
-40% | |
| 7 |
PUREST TIME
9/2
·market 18%
|
7% |
18% |
9/2
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-60% | |
| 8 |
SUPREME KING
8/1
·market 11%
|
5% |
11% |
8/1
|
-50% | |
| 9 |
HARRYS HALO
11/1
·market 8%
|
5% |
8% |
11/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
-40% | |
| 10 |
WINGED MESSENGER
11/1
·market 8%
|
5% |
8% |
11/1
|
-46% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org