Huntingdon 12:22: Value Analysis
CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Claiming Hurdle Race
Sunday 1 November 2026
What the abbreviations mean
Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.
We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)
Preferred to Shallow River despite that rival's proven record at this class: a drop from much stronger company, 15 days since the last run and a second four starts back give him solid claims, though consistency is a worry.
- ✓ Preferred to Shallow River, a proven winner at this class
- ✓ Ran well three runs back
- ✓ Has been racing at a higher level than this lately
- ✕ Consistency has been a worry
- ✕ Official mark among the lowest in the race
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Typical odds | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PIGEON HOUSE
★ Top Rated
11/8
·market 42%
|
40% |
42% |
11/8
▲ Edge increasing
|
-6% | |
| 2 |
SHALLOW RIVER
15/8
·market 35%
|
23% |
35% |
15/8
|
-32% | |
| 3 |
BLACKWATER LILLY
5/2
·market 29%
|
20% |
29% |
5/2
|
-32% | |
| 4 |
MCFLO
40/1
·market 2%
|
10% |
2% |
40/1
▼ Edge decreasing
|
+295% | |
| 5 |
STOPHERANDGO
40/1
·market 2%
|
8% |
2% |
40/1
▼ Edge decreasing
|
+213% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org