Newmarket 10:45 — Value Analysis

Thursday 25 June 2026 · result below

Novice Stakes GD 6.0f Class 4 6 runners

🏁 Result: Weekend Roar won (SP 3.75)

Model's most likely MYSTERIOUS TIMES 25% model chance · market —

No standout value here — the model and market broadly agree on the prices.

Why the model rates MYSTERIOUS TIMES top (25% chance)

✓ No single factor stands out — a close call on the model's figures

Every runner gets this breakdown - reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Avg Price	Value
1	MYSTERIOUS TIMES ★ Top Rated J: W Buick · T: C Appleby	25%	—	—	—	3rd
2	JACKSON CANYON J: Rossa Ryan · T: M O'Callaghan	22%	—	—	—	4th
3	WEEKEND ROAR J: Oisin Murphy · T: H Palmer	20%	—	—	—	Winner
4	GOOD FIGHTER J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: I Mohammed	18%	—	—	—	5th
5	LION OF GOD J: Hector Crouch · T: M Botti	16%	—	—	—	6th
6	ETIENNE J: David Egan · T: R Spencer	15%	—	—	—	2nd

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value — the price may be bigger than the horse's true chance warrants. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org