Listowel 13:47: Value Analysis

SIS Irish EBF Maiden

Tuesday 22 September 2026

Maiden GD 7.0f Class 0 6 runners

🏁 Result: Loughrea N Roll won (SP 1.91)

Our highest-rated LOUGHREA N ROLL Our price evens · Available 4/5 We make it 50% · the market says 55%

★ Best value SPEAKERS CORNER Our price 7/2 · Available 7/1 We make it 22% · the market says 12% · +76%

Why the model rates LOUGHREA N ROLL top (50% chance)

Third when he ran 44 days ago, he is an unexposed type open to any amount of improvement, and the yard is firing at 15% in the fortnight; consistency is the one blot.

✓ Ran well last time, finished 3rd
✓ Joseph Patrick O'Brien's yard in form, 15% winners in the fortnight
✓ Young improver with scope
✕ Consistency has been a worry

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Avg Price	Value
1	LOUGHREA N ROLL ★ Top Rated J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Form: 3 1.8 ·market 55%	50%	55%	1.8	-9%	Winner
2	SPEAKERS CORNER J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien Form: 40 8.0 ·market 12%	22%	12%	8.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+76%	2nd
3	CHURCHILL BOND J: W. J. Lee · T: P. Twomey Form: 753 3.8 ·market 27%	22%	27%	3.8	-18%	3rd
4	LAKE LUGANO J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: Aidan O'Brien Form: 0 21.0 ·market 5%	9%	5%	21.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+88%	5th
5	ALL TALK J: Rory Cleary · T: Stephen Thorne 6.5 ·market 15%	8%	15%	6.5 ▲ Edge increasing	-49%	4th
6	HOW NOW J: James Ryan · T: Conor David Maxwell Form: 0 251.0 ·market 0%	6%	0%	251.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+1438%market disagrees	6th

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

That is one of 36 races today. You can read 4 of them free. A trial opens the other 32 the same way, plus every UK and Irish race from tomorrow on. Seven days free, nothing charged today. Founder price £14.99 a month, locked for life.

Continue with Google

or use your email

1. Create a free account (no card needed). 2. Start your 7-day trial (card required). 7 days free, then £14.99/month.
See pricing · already a member? Sign in

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org