Pontefract 13:32: Value Analysis
ROA Shared Ownership Day Apprentice Handicap Stakes
Thursday 24 September 2026
Well treated on official ratings and nicely in at the weights, and he eases in grade after that ninth in much stronger company 16 days ago; distance and going experience help, though he is yet to beat much.
- ✓ Well treated on official ratings
- ✓ Nicely in at the weights
- ✕ Yet to be tested against much
- ✕ Little to like about its run last time
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
JOJO RABBIT
★ Top Rated
2.9
·market 35%
|
33% |
35% |
2.9
|
-6% | |
| 2 |
ALBEGONE
3.5
·market 29%
|
19% |
29% |
3.5
|
-32% | |
| 3 |
BUST A MOON
10.0
·market 10%
|
16% |
10% |
10.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+64% | |
| 4 |
DANGER ALERT
9.0
·market 11%
|
10% |
11% |
9.0
|
-9% | |
| 5 |
GOLDEN PROSPERITY
7.5
·market 13%
|
8% |
13% |
7.5
|
-42% | |
| 6 |
NAD ALSHIBA SNOW
19.0
·market 5%
|
7% |
5% |
19.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+39% | |
| 7 |
ZIVAS STAR
12.0
·market 8%
|
7% |
8% |
12.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-19% | |
| 8 |
TILSWORTH TURF
23.0
·market 4%
|
5% |
4% |
23.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+20% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org