Limerick 14:00: Value Analysis

PwC Mares Maiden Hurdle

Sunday 18 October 2026

Maiden YLD 16.5f Class 0 12 runners
Our highest-rated BRICKFIELD BELLE Our price 7/2 · Available 8/13 We make it 21% · the market says 62%
★ Best value JURY TIME Our price 5/1 · Available 10/1 We make it 17% · the market says 9% · +88%
Why the model rates BRICKFIELD BELLE top (21% chance)

Solid claims throughout: ran well over its last three runs and copes with this class, with Henry de Bromhead's yard and Darragh O'Keeffe each at 15% in the fortnight. Unproven above this level.

  • ✓ Ran well over its last three runs
  • ✓ Strong record against this class of rival
  • ✓ Darragh O'Keeffe riding well, 15% strike rate in the fortnight
  • ✕ Yet to be tested against much
  • ✕ Stepping up beyond the level it has shown

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

# Horse Model
Chance		 Market
Implies		 Avg Price Value
1
BRICKFIELD BELLE ★ Top Rated
J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Henry de Bromhead
Form: 531 · D
1.6 ·market 62%
21%
62%
1.6
 -66%
2
KIMI DE MAI
J: Paul Townend · T: W. P. Mullins
Form: 37022
3.2 ·market 31%
18%
31%
3.2
 -43%
3
JURY TIME
J: Phillip Enright · T: S Curling
Form: 323
11.0 ·market 9%
17%
9%
11.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +88%
4
SILK BUDS
J: Liam McKenna(3) · T: Peter John Flood
Form: 362
19.0 ·market 5%
12%
5%
19.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +119%
5
ABORAS MAHLER
J: Mark Walsh · T: E McNamara
Form: 0P228
17.0 ·market 6%
6%
6%
17.0
▼ Edge decreasing
 +7%
6
LUCKY VALLEY
J: Alan O'Sullivan(5) · T: Michael Barry
Form: 5
51.0 ·market 2%
5%
2%
51.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +147%
7
FRENCH ADVENTURE
J: Josh Williamson(3) · T: David M O'Brien
Form: 0
81.0 ·market 1%
5%
1%
81.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +273%
8
COFFEEMORNINGGIRLS
J: Eoin Staples(5) · T: Paul Nolan
51.0 ·market 2%
4%
2%
51.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +128%
9
NAUGHT BUT NICE
J: Anna McGuinness(7) · T: Robert Tyner
Form: P
101.0 ·market 1%
4%
1%
101.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +310%market disagrees
10
WHELKEEN VIEW
J: Sean Flanagan · T: Paul Nolan
13.0 ·market 8%
3%
8%
13.0
▲ Edge increasing
 -56%
11
GEORGES ORDER
J: Rian Lane(7) · T: Sean Joseph Allen
Form: 0
201.0 ·market 0%
2%
0%
201.0
 +392%market disagrees
12
CERULEAN SUMMER
J: John Aherne(7) · T: Lawrence Walshe
Form: 7
81.0 ·market 1%
2%
1%
81.0
▲ Edge increasing
 +96%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

See all of today's value flags → 📊 Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org