Bath 13:47: Value Analysis

Sw Hire Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes

Monday 19 October 2026

Amateur GD 17.0f Class 6 11 runners

Our highest-rated★ Best value LA TRINITE Our price 4/1 · Available 5/1 We make it 19% · the market says 17% · +16%

Why the model rates LA TRINITE top (19% chance)

✓ Preferred to Sanitiser, a proven winner at this class
✓ Ran well three runs back
✓ Race-fit, having run 6 days ago
✕ Neil King's yard quiet lately, 8% in the last two months
✕ Yet to be tested against much

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Avg Price	Value
1	LA TRINITE ★ Top Rated J: Miss Lily Jones(5) · T: Neil King Form: 23353 6.0 ·market 17%	19%	17%	6.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+16%
2	SANITISER J: Mr Hezekiah March(7) · T: Gary & Josh Moore Form: 31123 · D 5.5 ·market 18%	18%	18%	5.5 ▲ Edge increasing	-2%
3	LILYKOY J: Mr Fletcher Yarham · T: Dylan Cunha Form: 83431 · D 3.5 ·market 29%	13%	29%	3.5	-53%
4	DEREHAM J: Mr Ross Birkett · T: John Berry Form: P4343 7.5 ·market 13%	12%	13%	7.5 ▲ Edge increasing	-10%
5	OCEAN HEIGHTS J: Mr Jack Pipe(7) · T: David Pipe Form: 32714 · D 6.0 ·market 17%	10%	17%	6.0 ▲ Edge increasing	-38%
6	STAR OF JUPITER J: Mr Jack Loughnane(7) · T: Mark Loughnane Form: 42544 7.5 ·market 13%	8%	13%	7.5 ▼ Edge decreasing	-43%
7	CHILLHI J: Miss Imogen Mathias(3) · T: Barry Murphy Form: P7P79 81.0 ·market 1%	5%	1%	81.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+297%
8	ASSURED J: Mr James Hills(5) · T: Tom Gretton Form: 60559 81.0 ·market 1%	4%	1%	81.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+257%
9	FLAMINGO ROSE J: Mr Morgan Tidman(7) · T: Michael Wigham Form: 185 · D 13.0 ·market 8%	4%	8%	13.0	-50%
10	PARAONE J: Miss Amy Milburn(5) · T: Heather Main Form: 975 51.0 ·market 2%	3%	2%	51.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+72%
11	STOPHERANDGO J: Miss Louise Chance(5) · T: David Flood Form: 74695 67.0 ·market 1%	3%	1%	67.0 ▲ Edge increasing	+98%

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org