Worcester 13:10: Value Analysis
Fred & Mercy Rimell Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Wednesday 21 October 2026
- ✓ Harry Skelton riding well, 26% strike rate in the fortnight
- ✓ Harry Skelton and Dan Skelton win 30% together
- ✓ Has run well in better company than today's
- ✕ Carries plenty of weight today
- ✕ Yet to be tested against much
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Avg Price | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ALBIE LITTLEWOOD
★ Top Rated
3.8
·market 27%
|
32% |
27% |
3.8
▲ Edge increasing
|
+21% | |
| 2 |
KELIJOE
3.8
·market 27%
|
16% |
27% |
3.8
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-41% | |
| 3 |
REINADO
8.0
·market 12%
|
12% |
12% |
8.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-4% | |
| 4 |
KOOL KID
7.0
·market 14%
|
10% |
14% |
7.0
|
-31% | |
| 5 |
JAMADA
6.0
·market 17%
|
8% |
17% |
6.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-51% | |
| 6 |
BARNPARK
15.0
·market 7%
|
7% |
7% |
15.0
|
+1% | |
| 7 |
NO TACKLE
34.0
·market 3%
|
6% |
3% |
34.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
+103% | |
| 8 |
IMPERIAL BEDE
19.0
·market 5%
|
5% |
5% |
19.0
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-11% | |
| 9 |
MODUS OPERENDI
15.0
·market 7%
|
4% |
7% |
15.0
▲ Edge increasing
|
-33% |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org