Kempton 14:25: Value Analysis

Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Wednesday 4 November 2026 · result below

Other Handicap STSL 7f Class 5 11 runners

What the abbreviations mean

Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.

We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)

Next: 15:55 Nottingham, every runner rated. Start your 7-day free trial, £0 today.

Also still to run: 16:00 Kempton, 16:05 Dundalk

Result: Mister Mojito won (SP 8/1)

Our highest-rated MYTHICAL COMPOSER Our price 5/2 · Available 2/1 We make it 28% · the market says 33%

No standout value here. No runner is rated above its current price.

Why the model rates MYTHICAL COMPOSER top (28% chance)

Proven over this course and distance, strong against this class and dropping in from an 80-rated field to 72 today, with Farmer at 14% in the fortnight; he ticks most boxes, if still unproven at the level.

✓ Proven over this exact course and distance
✓ Strong record against this class of rival
✓ Has been racing at a higher level than this lately
✕ Stepping up beyond the level it has shown
✕ Official mark among the lowest in the race

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Typical odds	Value
1	MYTHICAL COMPOSER ★ Top Rated J: Shay Farmer(3) · T: Clive Cox Form: 40003 · CD 2/1 ·market 33%	28%	33%	2/1 ▼ Edge decreasing	-17%	3rd
,	MISS LADY GRACE NR J: Alexandra Egan(5) · T: Dan Horsford Form: 61187 · D — ·market —	—	—	—	—	Withdrawn
2	KING OF ITHACA J: Harry Vigors(3) · T: James Tate Form: 58426 · CD 4/1 ·market 20%	13%	20%	4/1 ▼ Edge decreasing	-37%	10th
3	KITARO KICH J: Jack Callan · T: George Baker Form: 47873 · CD 3/1 ·market 25%	12%	25%	3/1 ▼ Edge decreasing	-51%	4th
4	RHYTHM N ROCK J: Luke Catton · T: John Butler Form: 01576 · CD 8/1 ·market 11%	8%	11%	8/1 ▲ Edge increasing	-28%	5th
5	CUBAN LADY J: Alfie Redman(5) · T: Patrick Chamings Form: 43266 33/1 ·market 3%	7%	3%	33/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+140%	9th
6	AMAZONIAN DREAM J: Ryan Kavanagh · T: Rod Millman Form: 17457 · C 16/1 ·market 6%	7%	6%	16/1	+17%	8th
7	MISTER MOJITO J: Connor Planas · T: T. J. Kent Form: 56213 · D 10/1 ·market 9%	6%	9%	10/1 ▲ Edge increasing	-31%	Winner
8	DOCUMENTING J: Matthew Lloyd Slater(5) · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost Form: 20108 · D 25/1 ·market 4%	6%	4%	25/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+52%	2nd
9	ARCTICIAN J: James Glennon(7) · T: Simon Dow Form: 47870 · CD 25/1 ·market 4%	5%	4%	25/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+43%	7th
10	PANAMA BLACK J: Charlie Tucker(5) · T: Laura Mongan Form: 34786 40/1 ·market 2%	5%	2%	40/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+87%	6th
11	WIND SUMMER J: Jack Dace · T: Luke Dace Form: 70140 · C 28/1 ·market 3%	4%	3%	28/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+6%	11th

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

That is one of 47 races today. 16 races are still to run today, all rated. A trial opens every one, plus every UK and Irish race from tomorrow on. Seven days free, nothing charged today. Founder price £14.99 a month, locked for life. 50 founder places, 28 taken.

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See all of today's value flags → Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org