Musselburgh 12:35: Value Analysis
British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D)
Wednesday 4 November 2026 · result below
What the abbreviations mean
Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.
We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)
Dropped in class after racing in much stronger company, this one is better proven at the level and better suited by the trip than Sequoiadendron, and ran well two starts back; consistency is the one blot.
- ✓ Preferred to Sequoiadendron, better proven at this class and better suited by the trip
- ✓ Ran well two runs back
- ✓ Has been racing at a higher level than this lately
- ✕ Consistency has been a worry
Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.
| # | Horse | Model Chance |
Market Implies |
Typical odds | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
TRUE HEART
★ Top Rated
15/8
·market 35%
|
34% |
35% |
15/8
▲ Edge increasing
|
-1% | 3rd |
| 2 |
SEQUOIADENDRON
7/2
·market 22%
|
20% |
22% |
7/2
▲ Edge increasing
|
-9% | 6th |
| 3 |
SO FARHH
5/1
·market 17%
|
12% |
17% |
5/1
|
-26% | Winner |
| 4 |
WILD MARYS ROSE
4/1
·market 20%
|
11% |
20% |
4/1
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-47% | 4th |
| 5 |
EVERSABI
5/1
·market 17%
|
6% |
17% |
5/1
▼ Edge decreasing
|
-63% | 2nd |
| 6 |
FRONTIER LEGEND
40/1
·market 2%
|
6% |
2% |
40/1
▼ Edge decreasing
|
+143% | , |
| 7 |
TALORA
125/1
·market 1%
|
6% |
1% |
125/1
▲ Edge increasing
|
+612%market disagrees | 7th |
| 8 |
UNLAWFILLY
50/1
·market 2%
|
5% |
2% |
50/1
▼ Edge decreasing
|
+137% | 5th |
How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →
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EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org