Wexford 13:00: Value Analysis

Racing Tv Free Trial For A Month Maiden Hurdle

Wednesday 4 November 2026 · result below

Maiden 16½f Class 0 13 runners

What the abbreviations mean

Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.

We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)

Next: 15:55 Nottingham, every runner rated. Start your 7-day free trial, £0 today.

Also still to run: 16:00 Kempton, 16:05 Dundalk

Result: Palinca won (SP 1/3)

Our highest-rated★ Best value ZARAS DREAM Our price 9/4 · Available 3/1 We make it 32% · the market says 25% · +28%

Why the model rates ZARAS DREAM top (32% chance)

Danny Mullins and W. P. Mullins win 29% together and the last run was better than the bare result, worth plenty in a field of unknowns, though 72 days off and patchy consistency need forgiving.

✓ Danny Mullins and W. P. Mullins win 29% together
✓ Ran better than the result suggests last time
✕ Mostly unraced field — ranking is based on stable/jockey strength, not form. Confidence is genuinely low here
✕ First run for 72 days, so fitness is a question

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Typical odds	Value
1	ZARAS DREAM ★ Top Rated J: Danny Mullins · T: W. P. Mullins Form: 5 3/1 ·market 25%	32%	25%	3/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+28%	2nd
,	DOOKS NR J: Josh Williamson(3) · T: Gordon Elliott Form: 40 — ·market —	—	—	—	—	Withdrawn
2	SOLEIL DAURE J: Jordan Gainford · T: Jack Doyle Form: 0 50/1 ·market 2%	17%	2%	50/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+742%market disagrees	9th
3	MELODY DARC J: Alex Harvey · T: John McConnell Form: 8 50/1 ·market 2%	14%	2%	50/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+603%market disagrees	11th
4	THATS IT GIRL J: Conor Stone-Walsh · T: Gavin Cromwell Form: 80 125/1 ·market 1%	7%	1%	125/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+773%market disagrees	10th
5	EAST WALL J: Sean O'Keeffe · T: Paul Nolan 9/1 ·market 10%	5%	10%	9/1 ▲ Edge increasing	-46%	4th
6	MRS WRIGHT J: Sean Flanagan · T: Paul Nolan 25/1 ·market 4%	5%	4%	25/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+24%	6th
7	VINTED VINNIE J: J. J. Slevin · T: Kevin F O'Donnell 40/1 ·market 2%	4%	2%	40/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+69%	12th
8	ROSSIE GIRL J: Ross Berry(7) · T: Paul Nolan 28/1 ·market 3%	4%	3%	28/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+6%	13th
9	A POETS DAY OUT J: Phillip Enright · T: Robert Tyner 40/1 ·market 2%	3%	2%	40/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+31%	14th
10	TIMANDI J: Dylan O'Connor(7) · T: James M Barrett Form: 12730 66/1 ·market 1%	3%	1%	66/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+97%	3rd
11	TRINITY BELLE J: Shane Markey(7) · T: Ross O'Sullivan 50/1 ·market 2%	3%	2%	50/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+33%	8th
12	MIDNIGHT REIGN J: Eoin Staples(5) · T: Paul Nolan Form: 0 50/1 ·market 2%	2%	2%	50/1 ▼ Edge decreasing	+10%	7th
13	GREGWELL J: Tiernan Power Roche · T: P J Rothwell 66/1 ·market 1%	2%	1%	66/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+37%	5th

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

That is one of 47 races today. 16 races are still to run today, all rated. A trial opens every one, plus every UK and Irish race from tomorrow on. Seven days free, nothing charged today. Founder price £14.99 a month, locked for life. 50 founder places, 28 taken.

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See all of today's value flags → Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org