Wexford 14:37: Value Analysis

Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100)

Wednesday 4 November 2026 · result below

Handicap Hurdle 20f Class 0 13 runners

What the abbreviations mean

Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.

We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)

Next: 15:55 Nottingham, every runner rated. Start your 7-day free trial, £0 today.

Also still to run: 16:00 Kempton, 16:05 Dundalk

Result: Agent Tequila won (SP 13/2)

Our highest-rated ARDERA GUN Our price 6/1 · Available 11/4 We make it 14% · the market says 27%

No standout value here. No runner is rated above its current price.

Why the model rates ARDERA GUN top (14% chance)

Solid claims across the board: a third two runs back, a strong record against this class and proven over the trip, with a run 18 days ago behind him; the yard's 6% in the last two months is the caveat.

✓ Ran well two runs back
✓ Strong record against this class of rival
✕ Eoin Doyle's yard quiet lately, 6% in the last two months
✕ Phillip Enright cold lately, 7% in the last two months

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Typical odds	Value
1	ARDERA GUN ★ Top Rated J: Phillip Enright · T: Eoin Doyle Form: 7PU32 11/4 ·market 27%	14%	27%	11/4	-46%	4th
2	THE COBBLERS WIFE J: Danny Mullins · T: Anthony Mullins Form: 64P14 · D 9/4 ·market 31%	14%	31%	9/4	-55%	2nd
3	BUTTY O BRIEN J: Eoin Walsh · T: Cian Collins Form: 84314 · CD 16/1 ·market 6%	9%	6%	16/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+58%	9th
4	ALLROADSLEADTOROME J: Simon Torrens · T: John McConnell Form: 55799 25/1 ·market 4%	9%	4%	25/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+137%	7th
5	SPELLACYS CROSS J: Michael Kenneally(3) · T: James M Barcoe Form: 6F347 7/1 ·market 12%	9%	12%	7/1	-30%	3rd
6	AGENT TEQUILA J: Alex Harvey · T: John McConnell Form: 090P0 13/2 ·market 13%	8%	13%	13/2 ▼ Edge decreasing	-40%	Winner
7	PORTETTA J: Dylan O'Connor(7) · T: John Joseph Hanlon Form: 06906 20/1 ·market 5%	7%	5%	20/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+57%	,
8	HOBS ANGEL J: Josh Williamson(3) · T: James M Barcoe Form: 364U9 · D 14/1 ·market 7%	6%	7%	14/1 ▲ Edge increasing	-10%	6th
9	STUMBLIN IN J: Conor Smithers(7) · T: W J Martin Form: 600FP 33/1 ·market 3%	6%	3%	33/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+91%	11th
10	BALLYMINNION BOY J: G B Noonan · T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Form: 08067 14/1 ·market 7%	5%	7%	14/1 ▼ Edge decreasing	-20%	10th
11	REBEL QUEEN J: Alan O'Sullivan(5) · T: Colin Motherway Form: 64570 66/1 ·market 1%	5%	1%	66/1 ▲ Edge increasing	+242%	8th
12	REFLECTIONIST J: Thomas O'Connor(7) · T: Mark Fahey Form: 014 · D 14/1 ·market 7%	4%	7%	14/1 ▲ Edge increasing	-43%	,
13	THURMAN J: Brian Hayes · T: C A Murphy Form: 798 16/1 ·market 6%	3%	6%	16/1 ▼ Edge decreasing	-43%	5th
,	ALRIGHT GEORGE NR J: Tiernan Power Roche · T: P J Rothwell — ·market —	—	—	—	—	Withdrawn

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

That is one of 47 races today. 16 races are still to run today, all rated. A trial opens every one, plus every UK and Irish race from tomorrow on. Seven days free, nothing charged today. Founder price £14.99 a month, locked for life. 50 founder places, 28 taken.

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See all of today's value flags → Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org