Wexford 15:10: Value Analysis

Michael Hickey Memorial Chase (listed)

Wednesday 4 November 2026 · result below

Listed 23f Class 0 4 runners

What the abbreviations mean

Going: GD good · GTS good to soft · GTY good to yielding · YLD yielding · SFT soft · HVY heavy · STD standard (all-weather). Distance is in furlongs: 8f = 1 mile, 16f = 2 miles, 20f = 2½ miles. Form: recent finishing positions, latest on the right; 0 = 10th or worse, P = pulled up, F = fell, U = unseated rider. C = has won at this course, D = has won over this distance, CD = both. Odds are shown as fractions: 2/1 means £2 profit for every £1 staked.

We give every horse a % chance of winning and turn it into a fair price. If the bookies offer bigger odds than our fair price, the horse is better value than the market thinks. How to read this page (30 seconds)

Next: 15:55 Nottingham, every runner rated. Start your 7-day free trial, £0 today.

Also still to run: 16:00 Kempton, 16:05 Dundalk

Result: The Big Westerner won (SP 1/3)

Our highest-rated THE BIG WESTERNER Our price 4/5 · Available 3/10 We make it 55% · the market says 75%

No standout value here. No runner is rated above its current price.

Why the model rates THE BIG WESTERNER top (55% chance)

Ticks most boxes here: the highest official rating in the field, a win and a second in a strong last three runs, and form in better company. Ran 312 days ago, and the trip poses a question.

✓ Strong record against this class of rival
✓ Has run well in better company than today's
✓ Ran well over its last three runs
✕ Yet to be tested against much
✕ Trip is a question mark

Every runner gets the same breakdown of reasons for and against, straight from the model's workings.

#	Horse	Model Chance	Market Implies	Typical odds	Value
1	THE BIG WESTERNER ★ Top Rated J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Henry de Bromhead Form: 21 · D 3/10 ·market 75%	55%	75%	3/10 ▼ Edge decreasing	-27%	Winner
2	BOSSOFTHEBROWNIES J: Josh Williamson · T: M F Morris Form: 1332 7/2 ·market 22%	22%	22%	7/2	-1%	2nd
,	ROCKYS DIAMOND NR J: Philip Donovan · T: Declan Queally Form: 0P133 — ·market —	—	—	—	—	Withdrawn
3	SANDOR CLEGANE J: Sean O'Keeffe · T: Paul Nolan Form: 00134 9/1 ·market 10%	15%	10%	9/1 ▼ Edge decreasing	+45%	3rd
,	THE ENABLER NR J: Jack Kennedy · T: Gordon Elliott Form: 14363 — ·market —	—	—	—	—	Withdrawn
4	KATIE DANIELS J: Conor Stone-Walsh · T: Cian Collins Form: P571P 40/1 ·market 2%	8%	2%	40/1 ▼ Edge decreasing	+242%	4th

How to read this: "Model Chance" is our calibrated win probability for each horse. "Market Implies" is the chance suggested by the live price. When the model's number is meaningfully higher than the market's, we flag it as value. The available odds may be bigger than our fair price. Full explanation of how it works →

That is one of 47 races today. 16 races are still to run today, all rated. A trial opens every one, plus every UK and Irish race from tomorrow on. Seven days free, nothing charged today. Founder price £14.99 a month, locked for life. 50 founder places, 28 taken.

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See all of today's value flags → Our published model accuracy

EdgeDigger is a data analytics tool, not a tipster service. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org